Prognozirovanie pribyli predpriyatiya s pomosch'yu mul'titrendovoy modeli

G A Gadel&#039;shina; A V Aksyanova

UDC

338.27

PROGNOZIROVANIE PRIBYLI PREDPRIYATIYA S POMOSCH'YU MUL'TITRENDOVOY MODELI Prognozirovanie pribyli predpriyatiya s pomosch'yu mul'titrendovoy modeli

АА Аа

Published in Herald of Technological University · Pages 277–281 · Rubric: GUMANITARNYE I SOCIAL'NO-EKONOMIChESKIE PROBLEMY

Received: 19.04.2023 Accepted: 01.08.2025 Published: 01.08.2025 Language of publication: RUS

Authors

G A Gadel'shina

A V Aksyanova

G A Gadel'shina

KNITU

A V Aksyanova

KNITU

ABSTRACT

The method proposed by Davnis V.V., was applied for income forecast of Kazan Helicopters Joint Stock Company. The method is based on the joint use of autoregressive model with dummy variable and the model of the expert preferences. A combined model allows to build the forecast with the help of the probability distribution of the trajectories of multitrend model.

KEYWORDS

прогнозирование, мультитрендовая модель, мультиномиальная логит-модель, авторегрессионная модель, forecasting, multitrend model, multinomial logit (MNL) model, autoregressive (AR) model

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2. Aksyanova A.V. Prognozirovanie pokazateley razvitiya social'no-ekonomicheskoy sfery regiona / A.V. Aksyanova, Yu.V. Hayrutdinova // Vestnik Kazanskogo tehnologicheskogo universiteta. - 2011. - № 20. - S. 305-311.

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6. Oficial'nyy sayt Kazanskogo vertoletnogo zavoda www.kazanhelicopters.ru.

PROGNOZIROVANIE PRIBYLI PREDPRIYATIYA S POMOSCH'YU MUL'TITRENDOVOY MODELI Prognozirovanie pribyli predpriyatiya s pomosch'yu mul'titrendovoy modeli

Confirmation